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    Results booklet [PDF]
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    Commentary

     

    REVIEW OF RESULTS

    MTN Group Limited (MTN Group) continued to deliver a solid performance in the twelve months to 31 December 2007, driven mainly by mobile subscriber growth across all operations.

    The MTN Group reports operational performance by region, namely South and East Africa (“SEA”), West and Central Africa (“WECA”) and Middle East and North Africa (“MENA”).

    The Group recorded revenue growth of 42% to R73,1 billion (31 December 2006: R51,6 billion). The SEA and WECA regions contributed 43% and 42% respectively of total Group revenue, and the MENA the remaining 15%. This compares with 52% by SEA, 41% by WECA and 7% by MENA at 31 December 2006 and reflects growth from a low base and start-ups in the MENA region. The Iran operation contributed 12% of the total MENA region’s revenue (up from 2% last year). Without the positive effect of foreign currencies having strengthened against the Rand, Group revenue would have been approximately 2% lower.

    The Group’s earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (“EBITDA”) increased by 42% to R31,8 billion compared with the twelve-month period ended 31 December 2006. Without the positive effect of foreign currencies having strengthened against the Rand, Group EBITDA would have been 3% lower. The SEA region contributed 36% to Group EBITDA and WECA 52%. The MENA region contributed 8% of total Group EBITDA, up 3% from December 2006.

    Profit after tax (“PAT”) decreased to R11,9 billion from R12,1 billion for the twelve months to 31 December 2006, owing to increased finance charges and a higher tax charge arising mostly from the end of the pioneer tax status of the Nigerian operation. Basic headline earnings per share (“HEPS”) rose to 584,8 cents for the period, 4% below the 606,5 cents for the twelve months ended 31 December 2006.

    The Group recorded 61,4 million subscribers at 31 December 2007, a 53% increase from 40,2 million at 31 December 2006, as penetration rates increased in most markets. The former Investcom operations recorded subscriber growth of 66% from 31 December 2006, to 13,9 million or 23% of the Group’s total subscribers. Subscribers in the SEA region increased by 23% to 19,3 million, in the WECA region by 43% to 28 million, and the
    MENA region recorded a 186% increase to 14 million driven by the very strong growth of Irancell.

    The average revenue per user (“ARPU”) has marginally declined in most operations, which is consistent with increased penetration into lower usage segments.

    The Group is supportive of meaningful local shareholder participation. During the course of the year, it facilitated the increase in equity participation of local shareholders in Uganda to 5%. MTN also decreased its shareholding in Côte d’Ivoire to 60% during the year. The Group is also keen to ensure that, where possible, it holds a controlling interest in its operations. Accordingly, during the course of the year, the Group increased its shareholding in MTN
    Rwanda from 40% to 55% and Mascom Botswana from 51% to 53%. The increase in Botswana did not result in a change in control.

    M A Ramphele and P L Woicke resigned their positions as directors with effect from 18 March 2008. The Board greatly appreciates their contribution to the achievements of the Group.

    In February 2008 Moody’s upgraded MTN’s national scale rating to A2.za from A3.za and affirmed the global scale issuer rating at Baa3. The outlook on the ratings was changed to positive.

    Income statement analysis

    Group consolidated revenue increased by 42% to R73,1 billion (31 December 2006: R51,6 billion) largely owing to strong subscriber growth.

    The increase in revenue was mainly driven by South Africa, which increased revenue by 15% to R28,2 billion, and Nigeria, which increased revenue by 36% to R20,3 billion. Ghana and Syria generated revenues of R4 billion and R4,6 billion respectively.

    Former Investcom operations increased revenue by 48% to R14,8 billion (31 December 2006: R10 billion 12 months unaudited). These operations contributed R5,3 billion (17%) to WECA revenue and R9,4 billion (88%) to the MENA revenue for the period under review.

    Group EBITDA increased by 42% to R31,8 billion (31 December 2006: R22,4 billion) as a result of strong revenue growth and initiatives to improve operational efficiencies.

    Former Investcom operations generated R6,3 billion of the Group‘s total EBITDA for the year under review. The Group’s EBITDA increased year on year by 29% to R25,1 billion, excluding the former Investcom operations. The SEA region’s EBITDA increased by 22%, accounting for 36% of the Group’s EBITDA. This was driven mostly by EBITDA from South Africa. The WECA region contributed 52% to Group EBITDA, up 1% from 31 December 2006.
    The MENA region contributed 8% to Group EBITDA, up 3% from December 2006.

    The Group’s EBITDA margin improved marginally to 43,5% compared with 43,4% for the twelve months ended 31 December 2006.

    The Group depreciation charge increased by R1,7 billion to R6,8 billion for the period ended 31 December 2007. R0,8 billion of this amount is attributable to the increased investment in the former Investcom operations and a full-year application of the depreciation charge compared to six months in the previous year. Additional investment, mainly in South Africa, Iran and Nigeria, contributed to the remainder. The depreciation related to former Investcom operations came to R1,3 billion, with Ghana, Syria and Sudan at R327 million, R509 million and R200 million respectively.

    Group amortisation of intangible assets increased by R0,9 billion to R2,2 billion compared with the twelve months to 31 December 2006. The amortisation relating to the acquisition of Investcom operations increased by R500 million to R1,1 billion for the twelve months to 31 December 2007, while Iran contributed a further R79 million. Nigeria’s amortisation increased by R60 million, mainly as a result of the acquisition of a 3 G licence and 7,5 MHz frequency spectrum band licence.

    Net finance costs of R3,2 billion were higher by R1,7 billion compared to 31 December 2006 and related mostly to the full-year impact of financing the borrowings related to the Investcom acquisition.

    The Group’s Board continues to report adjusted headline EPS in addition to basic headline EPS. The adjustments are in respect of:

    • The impact on earnings due to the Nigerian deferred tax credit, which decreases the adjusted headline EPS by 12,0 cents.
    • The IFRS requirement that the Group account for a written put option held by a minority shareholder of one of the Group subsidiaries which provides them with the right to require the subsidiary to acquire their shareholding at fair value. The net impact is an increase in adjusted headline EPS of 19,7 cents.
    • The unwinding of a previously reversed deferred tax asset in Nigeria, which increased the adjusted headline EPS by 89,4 cents.

    Adjusted headline EPS of 681,9 cents for the period under review compares favourably with adjusted headline EPS of 584,7 cents for the twelve months ended 31 December 2006.

    Group Taxation

    The Group’s taxation charge increased by R5,2 billion compared with the twelve months ended December 2006. This relates mostly to the ending of the pioneer status tax holiday in Nigeria in March 2007, resulting in a tax charge of R3,8 billion in 2007 compared with a tax credit of R0,8 billion in 2006.

    MTN Group’s effective tax rate increased from 17,6% at December 2006 to 39,5% at December 2007, mainly because of the end of the tax holiday in Nigeria at the end of March 2007.

    Balance sheet and cash flow

    The Group’s total assets increased by 19% to R116 billion compared with R97 billion at 31 December 2006.

    Property, plant and equipment increased by R8,8 billion from 31 December 2006. This included acquisitions of R14,8 billion across the Group - R4,8 billion in Nigeria, R2,6 billion in South Africa and R1,5 billion in Iran (MTN’s share only).

    Goodwill and other tangible assets have decreased by 3% to R38,9 billion, as a result of the exchange-rate movement of the local currencies against the rand on the translation of Investcom LLC’s goodwill. Intangible assets before amortisation increased by R2,1 billion, mainly as a result of the acquisition of the 3G licence and the 7,5 MHz frequency spectrum band licence awarded to MTN Nigeria.

    Current assets grew by R12,9 billion to R33,5 billion, mainly because of the increase in other current assets of R5,4 billion to R15,9 billion and in cash balances of R7,5 billion to R17,6 billion. The movement in trade and other receivables was driven mainly by Nigeria, which increased by R388 million to R519 million (interconnect receivables and prepayments), and South Africa, which increased by R1,1 billion to R7,1 billion. The increase in the Group’s cash balances was after cash outflows of R14,5 billion for capital expenditure, R1,7 billion for dividends, R91 million additional equity purchased in subsidiaries and joint ventures, and R4,2 billion in taxes paid.

    Of the total interest-bearing liabilities of R34 billion (2006: R33 billion), a significant portion was originally used to fund the Investcom transaction via Mauritius. This debt includes R5 billion four-year bonds, R1,3 billion eightyear bonds, as well as syndicated facilities consisting of two five-year term loans of US$750 million and R7 billion each, and a three-year revolving credit facility of US$1,25 billion. R5.2 billion of the unproductive debt was repaid during 2007, reducing it to R14,9 billion.

    Irancell’s debt increased by R1,6 billion to R3,4 billion, primarily as a result of funding its network rollout and operational and other working capital requirements. The company entered into deferred payment facility arrangements with Nokia, Ericsson and Huawei for the sole purpose of funding the network rollout.

    MTN Nigeria’s debt increased by R1,4 billion to R5 billion, as a result of the funding of its network rollout in October 2007, Nigeria signed an unsecured US$ 2 billion medium-term debt fund made up of 80% local currency and a 20% US$ portion. Net debt to EBITDA at 31 December 2007 is 0.5 x due to significant cash accumulation in Nigeria, Ghana and Syria. The Group’s target is to reduce total debt to 0,4 times EBITDA by the end of 2008.

    OPERATIONAL REVIEW

    South Africa MTN South Africa performed well in a very competitive market increasing its total subscriber base by 17% from 31 December 2006 to 14,8 million at 31 December 2007. The postpaid subscriber base grew by 9% to 2,5 million subscribers, and the prepaid base increased by a healthy 19% to 12,3 million over the twelvemonth period. Low-denomination vouchers have been a key driver in stimulating usage. Market share was maintained at 36% at 31 December 2007.

    The postpaid segment made a strong recovery in the second six months of 2007, through improvements in the channel strategy and customer value proposition.

    Blended ARPU decreased by 9% to R149 at 31 December 2007, from R164 at 31 December 2006. Prepaid ARPU remained relatively stable, declining marginally to R92 from R94 owing to more affordable lower denomination vouchers. Postpaid ARPU decreased to R396 from R487, because of increased penetration into the lower usage segments.

    Network enhancement during the review period included the commissioning of 371 2G base transceiver stations (“BTSs”) and 590 3G BTSs. At year-end, the total number of 3G sites was 1379, and 904 000 3G handsets and data cards were in use. Looking forward, MTN South Africa is laying its own fibre cable to improve the capacity and quality of mobile transmission, and effectively manage margins.

    The second quarter of 2007 saw the launch of the brand revitalisation campaign “Go”, which has been successful in increasing brand awareness. There have been a number of innovative products targeted at different customer segments. These include low-denomination vouchers, peak-time usage products, Blackberry©-connect on HTC and the FNB bulk sms.

    The MTN data proposition is gaining momentum, with a 42% increase in data revenue to R2,8 billion. This was due to competitive pricing, increased 3G roll-out and improved stock management in the channels.

    Nigeria MTN Nigeria increased its subscriber base by 34% to 16,5 million at 31 December 2007. This was achieved despite network capacity- and quality constraints and strong competition. Network capacity and quality are being addressed through a ramp-up in the infrastructure roll-out in the second half of 2007.

    During the period, ARPU declined from US$18 at 31 December 2006 to US$17 at 31 December 2007, which is consistent with increased penetration into the lower segment of the market.

    MTN Nigeria maintained its leading market position, with market share at 43% as a result of competitive pricing, strong brand preference and an effective value proposition. During the period, a number of products and innovations were launched, such as GPRS roaming, Edge, Blackberry© services, Vitrain top-up and Wimax.

    By the end of December 2007, 785 additional sites had been added during the year, bringing the total number of live sites to 3 422, and approximately 77 sites have now been integrated with 3G technology. The Lagos Metro (82 km) and Niger – Delta (342 km) fibre-optic cabling were completed in the second half of 2007.

    The integration and commissioning of IP/MPLS backbone to service corporate customers has significantly increased capacity. MTN Nigeria was awarded a 15-year 2 GHz spectrum licence on 1 May 2007, at a cost of US$150 million, for the delivery of 3G services as well as a 7,5 MHz frequency spectrum band licence on 23 March 2007, at a cost of N288 000, renewable annually.

    Iran Irancell soft-launched commercial operations with postpaid services on 21 October 2006. Prepaid services were launched in January 2007. The period under review is the first full twelve months of operation. During the period, Irancell recorded an exceptional performance, increasing subscribers from 154 000 to 6 million. This equates to an average net acquisition rate of 488 000 subscribers per month. Prepaid subscribers comprise 94% of the subscriber base.

    ARPU increased from US$9 at 31 December 2006 to US$10 at 31 December 2007 as a result of usage stimulating packages and improvements in the quality and capacity of the network.

    During the period, Irancell increased its brand awareness and launched a number of new products, including flat competitive rates and standard per-second billing. Irancell was first to market in providing GPRS, which has enabled email solutions, MMS, Data SIMS and Vitrain content portal.

    The operation has significantly increased its distribution channels in all 30 provinces of Iran, with over 4 945 dealers and service centres in 258 cities.

    Following a slow roll-out in 2006, the network has been significantly enhanced and had sufficient capacity to service 6,5 million subscribers at 31 December 2007. There are 2 023 live sites across the 30 provincial capitals in 291 cities. Geographic coverage is 50%, population coverage is 50% and there is 1 500 km of road coverage.

    Ghana MTN Ghana recorded an exceptional increase in subscriber numbers for the period under review, from 2,6 million to 4,0 million. This was underpinned by improvements in network coverage and quality and an enhanced competitive proposition. The operation was rebranded MTN Ghana in August 2007.

    ARPU decreased from US$17 at 31 December 2006 to US$14 at 31 December 2007, as a result of increased penetration and reduced tariffs.

    Network enhancement continued during the review period with the installation of 718 new BTSs, bringing the total number to 1 660. At 31 December 2007, geographical coverage was 28% and population coverage was 72%.

    MTN Ghana made further progress in increasing accessibility and driving sales through the regions. Three major distributors have been added to the network and the decentralisation of distribution points from head office is progressing well. There has also been a significant increase in Electronic Voucher Distribution (“EVD”) vendors – to 31 451 vendors from 12 808 in December 2006.

    The operation introduced new products and innovations, including GPRS roaming, Me2U, International call-back and International Top-Up services, which increased international call traffic.

    Sudan MTN Sudan increased its subscriber base by 96% to 2,1 million at 31 December 2007 and its market share from 25% to 28% at 31 December 2007, in a highly competitive market.

    Subscriber acquisitions in the first quarter of 2007 were slightly lower due to technical challenges experienced during the migration to the new billing system. In June 2007, the Sudan operation was successfully rebranded MTN Sudan.

    A number of products were also launched in the second quarter of 2007, including a prepaid per-second billing campaign. A number of value-adding initiatives were launched, ranging from voicemail, postpaid bill inquiry, 3G data card, bulk SMS for corporates and prepaid multiprofile.

    ARPU decreased from US$16 at 31 December 2006 to US$12 at 31 December 2007, because of high connections in the lower usage market and the prevalence of dual SIMs. MTN Sudan has introduced a segmented pricing offering which will stimulate usage and support ARPU.

    During the period, the operation rolled out an additional 575 BTS sites. Population coverage is 43% and geographical coverage is 3%.

    Syria MTN Syria delivered stable performance in a high-growth market, recording a 39% increase in subscriber numbers to 3,1 million at 31 December 2007.

    Blended ARPUs declined from US$22 at 31 December 2006 to US$20 at 31 December 2007. Prepaid ARPUs are US$15 and postpaid ARPUs are US$42. This was due to an increase in mobile penetration from 26% to 35%.

    MTN Syria continued to focus on improving coverage in the major cities and providing coverage in rural and coastal areas. 337 BTSs were rolled out in the twelve months to 31 December 2007. Population coverage and geographical coverage stood at around 98% and 78% respectively.

    Prospects The Group’s prospects for 2008 remain positive in our key markets.

    Strategic priorities include:

    • Actively seeking value-accretive expansion opportunities in emerging markets;
    • Ongoing infrastructure investment to ensure appropriate levels of capacity and quality;
    • Ensuring that the Group is well positioned to benefit from a rapidly converging technology market;
    • Driving operating margin efficiencies;
    • Engaging with regulatory authorities.

    DIVIDEND DECLERATION

    Due to the Group’s strong free cash flow generation and sound financial position, a dividend of 136 cents per share (December 2006: 90 cents per share) has been declared.

    Notice is hereby given that a dividend (number 9) of 136 cents per ordinary share has been declared and is payable to shareholders recorded in the register of the MTN Group at the close of business on Friday, 11 April 2008.

    In compliance with the requirements of Strate, the electronic settlement and custody system used by the JSE , the MTN Group has determined the following salient dates for the payment of the dividend:

    Last day to trade cum dividend Friday, 4 April 2008
    Shares commence trading ex dividend Monday, 7 April 2008
    Record date Friday, 11 April 2008
    Payment date of dividend Monday, 14 April 2008

    Share certificates may not be dematerialised/rematerialised between Monday, 7 April 2008 and Friday, 11 April 2008, both days inclusive.

    On Monday, 14 April 2008 the dividend will be electronically transferred to the bank accounts of certificated shareholders who make use of this facility. In respect of those who do not use this facility, cheques dated

    Monday, 14 April 2008 will be posted on or about that date. Shareholders who have dematerialised their shares will have their accounts held by their Central Securities Depository Participant or broker credited on Monday, 14 April 2008.

    For and on behalf of the Board

    MC Ramaphosa PF Nhleko
    (Chairman) (Group President and Chief Executive Officer)

    Fairland
    18 March 2008

    Certain statements in this announcement that are neither reported financial results nor other historical information are forward-looking statements, relating to matters such as future earnings, savings, synergies, events, trends, plans or objectives.

    Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because they are inherently subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors that could cause actual results and company plans and objectives to differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements (or from past results).

    Unfortunately, the company cannot undertake to publicly update or revise any of these forward-looking statements, whether to reflect new information of future events or circumstances or otherwise.

     

     

     

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